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"The Democratic Electorate on Twitter Is Not the Actual Democratic Electorate/A detailed look at the voters with the numbers to decide the 2020 Democratic nominee."

The NYT delves into something that shouldn't surprise anyone: The noisiest people are atypical.The outspoken group of Democratic-leaning voters on social media is outnumbered, roughly 2 to 1, by the more moderate, more diverse and less educated group of Democrats who typically don’t post political content online, according to data from the Hidden Tribes Project. This latter group has the numbers to decide the Democratic presidential nomination in favor of a relatively moderate establishment favo...
Tags: Law, Joe Biden, Nyt, Biden, Trump, Thomas Edsall, Edsall, Ann Althouse, Left-wing Ideology, 2020 Campaign, Green New Deal, Thomas Edsall Democratic Party


Based on the new polls, I'd say the hit job on Biden failed miserably.

Here's the graphic depiction, from Real Clear Politics (click to enlarge and clarify):Biden hasn't lost any ground at all. And the rest of the pack seems rather pitiful. Yes, Buttigieg has risen from complete unknown to Booker level. I guess that looks positively burbling compared to the stagnation everywhere else.ADDED: I went over to FiveThirtyEight to see how they were handling the dismal stagnation. The big article there is "How Eric Swalwell Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary." A new fun...
Tags: Law, Biden, Polls, Buttigieg, Eric Swalwell, Ann Althouse, Pete Buttigieg, Swalwell, 2020 Campaign, Buttigieg Perhaps


"As women, we become conditioned to men encroaching on our personal space, and so we brush it off."

"That’s what I did at the Oscars — I silenced the voice that whispered that my discomfort mattered. Biden was in a position of power — the second-most-powerful person in the country, to be precise — and his presence was drawing attention to the problem of sexual harm. He has done important work to address sexual violence over the years. I didn’t want to discredit it then. I don’t want to discredit it now. But it’s precisely because he has been active on this for so long that he should have reali...
Tags: Law, Joe Biden, Biden, Sexual Harassment, Gestures, WaPo, LBJ, Karasek, Ann Althouse, Misreadings, Sofie Karasek


You can do this, Joe!

WELCOME BACK JOE! pic.twitter.com/b2NbBSX3sx— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) April 4, 2019 [Author: [email protected] (Ann Althouse)]
Tags: Law, Biden, Joe, Donald J Trump, Ann Althouse


"Last year Biden told some college students that if only he and Trump were in high school together, 'I’d take him behind the gym and beat the hell out of him.'"

"At the time, I wrote a column about the inadvisability of advocating an assault on the president, even in the past tense. And the next day Biden called up to say thanks 'for showing me what a jerk I was.' See, this is the reason people keep saying they love Joe Biden. Right before they say they hope he doesn’t run for president."Writes Gail Collins in "The Biden Sort-Of Lovefest" (NYT).The second-highest-ranked comment:Not sure who you are talking to, but being a female of a certain age with f...
Tags: Law, Joe Biden, Iran, Bill Clinton, Paul ryan, Biden, Joe, Trump, Ryan, Gail Collins, Ann Althouse, Emotional Politics, 2020 Campaign


"Our former vice president, I was going to call him. I don’t know him well. I was gonna say, 'Welcome to the world, Joe. You having a good time, Joe?'"

Said President Trump, the day before Joe Biden came out with his "mindfulness" video.Joe tugged at my heartstrings, I've got to say. He seemed so sweet and pathetic:"But I’ll always believe governing — life, for that matter — is about connecting, connecting with people... That won’t change.... And I’ll be much more mindful. That’s my responsibility, my responsibility, and I’ll meet it.... The idea that I can’t adjust to the fact that personal space is important, more important than it’s ever bee...
Tags: Law, Joe Biden, Kissing, Nancy Pelosi, Biden, Joe, Trump, Pelosi, Ann Althouse, Hugging, Trump rhetoric, Joe You


"Joe Biden's 2020 Ukrainian nightmare: A closed probe is revived."

At The Hill.In his own words, with video cameras rolling, Biden described how he threatened Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko in March 2016 that the Obama administration would pull $1 billion in U.S. loan guarantees, sending the former Soviet republic toward insolvency, if it didn’t immediately fire Prosecutor General Viktor Shokin.“I said, ‘You’re not getting the billion.’ I’m going to be leaving here in, I think it was about six hours. I looked at them and said: ‘I’m leaving in six hours. I...
Tags: Law, Obama, Joe Biden, Ukraine, Petro Poroshenko, Biden, Hunter, Poroshenko, Ann Althouse, Viktor Shokin, Hunter Biden, Burisma Holdings


"This affectionate and sometimes intimate physical style is one of the former vice president’s trademarks, a defining feature of the warm and upbeat persona he has built..."

"... during more than four decades in the national spotlight. But the appropriateness of Biden’s physical behavior toward women is now being questioned, after a female Democratic politician penned a viral Internet piece describing an alleged 2014 encounter that left her offended and uncomfortable. As Biden prepares to announce whether he will run for president in 2020, the episode has raised questions about whether the older, self-described 'fingertip politician' is well-suited for the White Hou...
Tags: Law, White House, Joe Biden, Nevada, Biden, Gestures, Joe, Flores, Sanders, Democratic, Jake Tapper, Rourke, WaPo, Tapper, Buttigieg, Ann Althouse


"I think you don’t run for second place.... If I’m going to enter a primary, then I’m going to enter a primary."

"And if I don’t enter a primary, my job is to make certain that the best Democrat becomes the nominee and whoever wins the primary that we make sure that person gets elected in 2020."Said Stacey Abrams on "The View." [Author: [email protected] (Ann Althouse)]
Tags: Law, Biden, The View, Ann Althouse, Stacey Abrams


"Iowa 2020: Biden and Sanders neck and neck in Democratic Field, Mayor Pete jumps to double digits."

It's Emerson’s second poll of the Iowa caucus.... former Vice President Joe Biden narrowly leads the Democratic field with 25%, followed by Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders at 24%. Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Indiana has surged to 11%. Senator Kamala Harris of California follows with 10% - the only other candidate to clear double digits in Iowa....Buttigieg was at 0% in the previous Emerson poll, in January.Sanders maintains a lead among 18-29 year olds with 44%, followed by Buttigieg with...
Tags: Law, California, Pete Seeger, Joe Biden, Gop, Hillary Clinton, Iowa, Biden, Names, Vermont, Delaware, Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders, Trump, Sanders, Pete Townshend


"Close advisers to former Vice President Joe Biden are debating the idea of packaging his presidential campaign announcement with a pledge to choose Stacey Abrams as his vice president...."

"But the decision poses considerable risk, and some advisers are flatly opposed. Some have pointed out that in a Democratic debate, he could be asked why no one on the stage would be a worthy running mate. Advisers also know that the move would be perceived as a gimmick...."Axios says. [Author: [email protected] (Ann Althouse)]
Tags: Law, Joe Biden, Biden, 2016 Campaign, Ann Althouse, Stacey Abrams


The Bernie-Beto-Biden triad has 70% of the Democratic primary vote.

According to . It's Biden 35, Sanders 27, O'Rourke 8. Biden, the one who's not yet declared, is up 4 points since last week. Beto is up 1. Kamala Harris is down 2, to 8%.Why is the triad doing so well? Why hasn't Harris gotten traction? [Author: [email protected] (Ann Althouse)]
Tags: Law, Biden, BETO, Kamala Harris, Polls, Sanders, HARRIS, Rourke, Ann Althouse, the Bernie-Beto-Biden triad, Bernie Beto Biden


"Beto O'Rourke raised massive $6.1 million his first day in the 2020 race..."

According to his campaign, CNN reports.That tops the $5.9 million one-day total Sen. Bernie Sanders announced after he launched his campaign. The closest other 2020 Democratic candidate to publicize their first-day fundraising total was California Sen. Kamala Harris at $1.5 million....[O'Rourke's] refusal to release first-day fundraising totals over the weekend had raised doubts that O'Rourke had met fundraising expectations around his campaign launch. He remained coy about his fundraising for d...
Tags: Law, Cnn, Biden, Campaign Finance, BETO, Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders, Bernie, Rourke, Washington Iowa, Joe Run, Ann Althouse, Beto O'Rourke, 2020 Campaign, Run Joe, California Sen Kamala Harris


Everybody beats Trump in Wisconsin, according to a new Emerson poll — everybody except Amy Klobuchar and — gasp! — Kamala Harris.

Here's how it looks at Real Clear Politics (click image to enlarge and clarify):Klobuchar only gets a tie. Okay. But Harris?! All those others best Trump but Kamala Harris — who I've been made to feel is the most likely candidate — only ties?!When the Democratic candidates are pitted against each other, Sanders and Biden are way out ahead, with 39% and 24%, respectively. Harris lags miserably at 5%. [Author: [email protected] (Ann Althouse)]
Tags: Law, Wisconsin, Amy Klobuchar, Biden, Kamala Harris, Polls, Trump, Sanders, HARRIS, Emerson, Klobuchar, Ann Althouse, 2020 Campaign


Beto's in.

"Beto O’Rourke, the 46-year-old former Texas congressman whose near-miss Senate run last year propelled him to Democratic stardom, announced on Thursday that he was running for president, betting that voters will prize his message of national unity and generational change in a 2020 primary teeming with committed progressives. His decision jolts an early election season already stuffed with contenders, adding to the mix a relentless campaigner with a small-dollar fund-raising army, the performati...
Tags: Texas, Law, Senate, Nyt, Biden, Vermont, Booker, BETO, Bernie Sanders, Trump, Sanders, Bernie, BBB, Ann Althouse, Joseph R Biden Jr, O'Rourke


Bernie Sanders Will Run for President Again

Bernie Sanders has announced he's in it to win it. He will run for President (no link due to autoplay video). I prefer him to Biden, and I hope Biden pulls out or gets pushed aside early, so I don't have to spend my time writing about... [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]]
Tags: Law, Biden, Bernie Sanders, Bernie Sanders Will Run


"Top Wall Street executives would love to be rid of President Donald Trump. But they are getting panicked about..."

"... the prospect of an ultraliberal Democratic nominee bent on raising taxes and slapping regulations on their firms. The result is a kind of nervous paralysis of executives pining for a centrist nominee like Michael Bloomberg while realizing such an outcome is unlikely from a party veering sharply to the left.... While Bloomberg represents something of the platonic ideal on Wall Street — fiscally responsible while strong on climate change and gun policy and not in need of cash — Biden represen...
Tags: New York, Law, Bloomberg, Howard Schultz, Biden, Donald Trump, Michael Bloomberg, Trump, Jonathan Chait, Schultz, Ann Althouse, 2020 Elections, Democratic Party in Trumpland, Trump Schultz


The 37-year-old Tulsi Gabbard is running for President.

Politico reports.Within her party, the three-term congresswoman is viewed as a maverick with a penchant for bucking party orthodoxy. During the 2016 presidential election, Gabbard stepped down from her post as a vice chair of the Democratic National Committee so she could endorse Sanders....During the presidential transition period in 2016, the Hawaii Democrat met with then-President-elect Donald Trump, drawing condemnation from fellow Democrats. She also received widespread criticism in 2017 fo...
Tags: Law, Wikipedia, Iraq, Elizabeth Warren, Syria, Hawaii, Catholic, Biden, Donald Trump, Hinduism, Pacific Ocean, Kuwait, Bashar Al Assad, Sanders, Trans Pacific Partnership, Bashar Assad


"What brought Clinton down was public exposure not to her personality... but extended public scrutiny of every detail of a decades-long career in public life."

"This, in turn, is the exact same problem Biden will inevitably face as a presidential candidate.... And by 2020, there’s simply no reason to do that again. Most of the party’s bench consists of people like Kamala Harris and Amy Klobuchar and Cory Booker, who are young enough not to have participated in the [Iraq] war debate in Congress.... Foreign policy experience theoretically should be a big Biden advantage over his rivals. But in reality, on one of the only foreign policy controversies vote...
Tags: Law, Iraq, Joe Biden, Amy Klobuchar, Biden, Sexual Harassment, Kamala Harris, Clinton, Anita Hill, Democratic Party, Matthew Yglesias, Yglesias, Cory Booker, Clarence Thomas, Ann Althouse, 2020 Elections


"I’m a big fan of Sen. Harris, and I work with her. But she’s brand-new here, so it takes a little bit of time to get to know somebody."

Said Dianne Feinstein, endorsing Biden (L.A. Times):“He has the experience, the drive, he was chairman of [the Senate Judiciary Committee] when I came” to the Senate, Feinstein said Thursday. “I worked with him closely on a number of different things. I have a great respect for his integrity as well as his ability. And I think experience is really important at this particular point, where our world is today.”That's a very bland endorsement, based entirely and openly on the length of her personal...
Tags: Law, Senate, Biden, Dianne Feinstein, Kamala Harris, Senate Judiciary Committee, Feinstein, Ann Althouse, 2020 Campaign, Sen Harris


The NYT looks for the Democratic Party candidate who "matches the moment," tells us what this "moment" is, and nudges the non-moment-matching would-bes to stay out of the way.

"It is hard to recall a recent presidential primary where, at the outset of the race, there was this much genuine mystery — not only about who would eventually emerge as the nominee, but who planned to run at all," write Jonathan Martin and Alexander Burns in "2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates Are Lining Up. Who Matches the Moment?" (NYT):Ms. Warren’s announcement Monday was expected. And it will not be a surprise when Senators Cory Booker of New Jersey and Kamala Harris of California ente...
Tags: Texas, Law, Obama, California, Senate, Elizabeth Warren, Hillary Clinton, House, Iowa, New Jersey, Warren, Biden, Kirsten Gillibrand, Vermont, Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders


I've been seeing the simultaneous crushing of the white male triad — Bernie, Beto, Biden — and I get it, but what's with "Why the Bernie Movement Must Crush Beto O’Rourke"?

That's the headline for this Jonathan Chait piece (in NY Magazine). 2 days ago, I was strongly impressed by the NYT article that promoted the Senate Foursome (Harris, Gillibrand, Warren, and Booker) and, on their behalf, gave the BBB triad a shove:For the Senate foursome, moving quickly into the race is also a pre-emptive effort to undercut the early advantages of a duo of universally known contenders, former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. and Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, who may enter...
Tags: Law, Obama, Senate, Socialism, PAC, Nyt, Biden, Names, Vermont, Kennedy, Booker, BETO, Bernie Sanders, Sanders, Jonathan Chait, Bernie


The NYT makes its 2020 presidential choice obvious.

On the front page:Inside, the text is clear. There's Kamala Harris and there are 3 other decent choices... and those 3 other guys need to step back and get out of the way:Senator Kamala Harris of California.... Elizabeth Warren, the Massachusetts senator... Senator Cory Booker of New Jersey... And Senator Kirsten Gillibrand.... These four high-profile Democratic senators are poised to enter the 2020 presidential race in the next several weeks...The speed of the senators’ efforts reflects intense...
Tags: Law, California, Senate, Massachusetts, Elizabeth Warren, New Jersey, Nyt, Biden, Kirsten Gillibrand, Vermont, Booker, Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders, Trump, Sanders, Cory Booker


Running interference for Biden.

I am going to unfollow and block anyone that spouts the "age" shit.Ageism is NO different from sexism - or racism, or homophobia.A person is either competent - or they fucking aren't.It has NOTHING to do with their fucking age.Go ask Pelosi - and RBG. — Happy Holidays (@perpetualTJ) December 17, 2018 Ageism is different, by the way, because everyone ages. Race and sex are — if not, as we used to say, immutable — relatively fixed and not on any sort of regular pathway of one-directional change...
Tags: Law, Aging, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Nancy Pelosi, Biden, Ginsburg, Pelosi, Ann Althouse, Analogies, RBG


I don't think this is good news for Biden.

From "Iowa Poll: Biden, Sanders top early look at possible Democratic hopefuls in 2020 caucuses" (DeMoines Register). The question was: "Do you think the right person to defeat Donald Trump will be more of a political newcomer, as he was, or more of a seasoned political hand?" It's so normal to say a "seasoned hand" would be better and to be wary of a "newcomer," but not even half of the respondents had the obvious reaction to the generic question. And imagine if the question had been written in...
Tags: Law, Senate, Iowa, House Of Representatives, Biden, Donald Trump, BETO, Polls, Ann Althouse, 2020 Campaign, Beto O'Rourke, Biden Sanders


"I am a gaffe machine, but my God, what a wonderful thing compared to a guy who can’t tell the truth."

Said Joe Biden, quoted in "Biden on Biden: 'I'm the most qualified person in the country to be president'" (Yahoo News).I'm wondering whether "I am a gaffe machine, but my God, what a wonderful thing compared to a guy who can’t tell the truth" is itself a gaffe or whether, more interestingly, it is an untruth. It feels like an old brain teaser: 2 men stood in front of 2 doors. One man is a gaffe machine. The other man is incapable of telling the truth. Behind one door is a happy future for Ameri...
Tags: Law, America, Lying, Biden, Yahoo News, Ann Althouse, 2020 Campaign, Biden gaffes, Said Joe Biden


Because he doesn't own slaves?

"Biden says Trump is 'more like George Wallace than George Washington.'" [Author: [email protected] (Ann Althouse)]
Tags: Law, Biden, Trump, George Washington, George Wallace, Ann Althouse, Analogies


"She’s a lion in winter. Not only is she running, she should run."

"In the Democratic Party, the question is can anybody throw a punch or take a punch, and one thing we know about Hillary Clinton is she can take a punch.... I think Trump considers her a real rival, whereas his view of the rest of the field is they’ve got to prove themselves."Said Steve Bannon, quoted in "How Do You Solve a Problem Like Hillary?/She’s not going away—and Democrats aren’t sure what to do about it" (Politico).Also quoted at Politico — Philippe Reines: It’s curious why Hillary Clint...
Tags: Law, Politico, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Biden, Donald Trump, Hillary, Philippe Reines, Bernie Sanders, Trump, Nixon, Democratic Party, Solomon, Katharine Hepburn, Ann Althouse, Steve Bannon


2020 Presidential Election Betting Odds.

Via GetMoreSports (with a lot about Mark Cuban at the link):Donald Trump 3-2Kamala Harris 8-1Elizabeth Warren 10-1Joe Biden 12-1Bernie Sanders 12-1Mike Pence 16-1Michelle Obama 20-1Cory Booker 25-1Kirsten Gillibrand 25-1Beto O’Rourke 30-1Mark Cuban 50-1Oprah Winfrey 50-1Eric Holder 50-1Julian Castro 50-1Bob Iger 50-1Andrew Cuomo 50-1Sherrod Brown 50-1Deval Patrick 50-1Gavin Newsom 50-1Dwayne Johnson 60-1Jamie Dimon 60-1Hillary Clinton 60-1Michael Bloomberg 60-1Howard Schultz 60-1Amy Klobuchar 60...
Tags: Cook, Law, Obama, Bloomberg, Mark Cuban, Johnson, Biden, Donald Trump, Ellison, Castro, Clinton, Cuomo, Gore, Fiorina, Rubio, PAUL


‘True American Hero:’ Washington says goodbye to John McCain

By LAURIE KELLMAN and MATTHEW DALY The Associated Press WASHINGTON — Americans lined up for blocks outside the U.S. Capitol Thursday to say goodbye to John McCain as officials, relatives and friends paid their tributes inside to the Vietnam hero and longtime senator lying in state under the majestic dome. Earlier, Vice President Mike Pence, lawmakers and guests paid tribute at an emotional ceremony surrounding McCain’s casket in the vast rotunda. Meghan McCain cries at the casket of her fath...
Tags: News, Vladimir Putin, Congress, Navy, Washington, Funeral, Senate, White House, Defense, Uncategorized, America, Barack Obama, Sport, Joe Biden, Ap, Soccer



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