Posts filtered by tags: 2020 Campaign[x]


 

5 theories on why Pete Buttigieg got so popular.

It's a crowded field of Democratic Party candidates, with notables like Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris idling at around 7% and Cory Booker embarrassingly stalled at 3%. So how did Pete Buttigieg break through the pack into 3rd place already? (Only Biden and Sanders outpoll the fast-rising newcomer.)Amber Phillips (at WaPo) has 5 theories, which I'll summarize, interwoven with my commentary.1. He's a "novelty," Phillips says, because he "is from the Midwest, he’s a veteran who served in Afgha...
Tags: Law, California, Washington, Elizabeth Warren, Barack Obama, Afghanistan, Hillary Clinton, Republican Party, Biden, Kamala Harris, Trump, Midwest, Sanders, Democratic Party, Phillips, Pamela


The new Emerson poll has Bernie ahead of Biden and Buttigieg in third.

Details here.Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson Polling, said “while still early in the nominating process, it looks like Mayor Pete is the candidate capturing voters’ imagination; the numbers had him at 0% in mid-February, 3% in March and now at 9% in April.”Kimball also noted that “Biden has seen his support drop. In February, he led Sanders 27% to 17%, and in March the two were tied at 26%. Now, Sanders has a 5 point lead, 29% to 24%.”Also, on the issues: "47% of voters support building a w...
Tags: Law, US, Biden, Bernie Sanders, Sanders, Bernie, Pete, Emerson, Kimball, Spencer Kimball, Buttigieg, Ann Althouse, Trump's wall, Pete Buttigieg, 2020 Campaign, Emerson Polling


Trump Gave Americans a Massive Tax Cut. Few Are Noticing — And That’s a Problem for Him

It'll be hard for Trump to campaign on tax reform in 2020
Tags: Taxes, News, White House, Uncategorized, Bloomberg, Trump, Onetime, 2020 Campaign


President Trump’s Campaign Fundraising Far Surpassing That of Democratic Rivals

He raised more than $30 million in the first quarter of 2019
Tags: News, Uncategorized, Trump, Onetime, 2020 Campaign


"The Democratic Electorate on Twitter Is Not the Actual Democratic Electorate/A detailed look at the voters with the numbers to decide the 2020 Democratic nominee."

The NYT delves into something that shouldn't surprise anyone: The noisiest people are atypical.The outspoken group of Democratic-leaning voters on social media is outnumbered, roughly 2 to 1, by the more moderate, more diverse and less educated group of Democrats who typically don’t post political content online, according to data from the Hidden Tribes Project. This latter group has the numbers to decide the Democratic presidential nomination in favor of a relatively moderate establishment favo...
Tags: Law, Joe Biden, Nyt, Biden, Trump, Thomas Edsall, Edsall, Ann Althouse, Left-wing Ideology, 2020 Campaign, Green New Deal, Thomas Edsall Democratic Party


Based on the new polls, I'd say the hit job on Biden failed miserably.

Here's the graphic depiction, from Real Clear Politics (click to enlarge and clarify):Biden hasn't lost any ground at all. And the rest of the pack seems rather pitiful. Yes, Buttigieg has risen from complete unknown to Booker level. I guess that looks positively burbling compared to the stagnation everywhere else.ADDED: I went over to FiveThirtyEight to see how they were handling the dismal stagnation. The big article there is "How Eric Swalwell Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary." A new fun...
Tags: Law, Biden, Polls, Buttigieg, Eric Swalwell, Ann Althouse, Pete Buttigieg, Swalwell, 2020 Campaign, Buttigieg Perhaps


"In Washington, she hasn’t done much—let’s be honest, who in the Senate has in recent years?"

"She introduced a few bills: one, with Kentucky Republican Rand Paul, to study reforming the cash-bail system; another, with 13 Democratic colleagues, to begin addressing the high mortality rates black women face in childbirth. She also introduced, with fellow Democratic presidential candidate Cory Booker and Republican Tim Scott, a bill to make lynching a hate crime. This last one was classic Harris: tough on crime, seemingly progressive, entirely risk-free. It passed the Senate unanimously."Fr...
Tags: Law, Washington, Kentucky, Senate, Atlantic, Grammar, Rand Paul, Kamala Harris, Trump, Democratic Party, HARRIS, Cory Booker, Tim Scott, Elizabeth Weil, Ann Althouse, Gender Politics


"Last year Biden told some college students that if only he and Trump were in high school together, 'I’d take him behind the gym and beat the hell out of him.'"

"At the time, I wrote a column about the inadvisability of advocating an assault on the president, even in the past tense. And the next day Biden called up to say thanks 'for showing me what a jerk I was.' See, this is the reason people keep saying they love Joe Biden. Right before they say they hope he doesn’t run for president."Writes Gail Collins in "The Biden Sort-Of Lovefest" (NYT).The second-highest-ranked comment:Not sure who you are talking to, but being a female of a certain age with f...
Tags: Law, Joe Biden, Iran, Bill Clinton, Paul ryan, Biden, Joe, Trump, Ryan, Gail Collins, Ann Althouse, Emotional Politics, 2020 Campaign


Tuesday's Wisconsin Supreme Court election makes national media look again at a state that last fall's election made them think was part of a "blue wall" again.

It must be so annoying for them. I feel the irksomeness leaking through the lines of "Wisconsin, Ground Zero for 2020 Politics, Looks Like a Tossup Again" (in the NYT). Tony Evers ousted Scott Walker last fall, so that should have meant the state had accepted its blue place. The liberal SCt candidate was presented as way ahead, the conservative was duly smeared as a religious bigot, and then look what happened! How dare the Wisconsin slip away and demand more attention after the Democrats gave M...
Tags: Supreme Court, Law, Milwaukee, America, Dnc, Mitt Romney, Wisconsin, Scott Walker, Nyt, Madison, Trump, Democratic Party, Green Bay, Wausau, State Supreme Court, Dane County


"The Trump era has been all about dissolving moral norms and waging vicious attacks. This has been an era of culture war, class warfare..."

"... and identity politics. It’s been an era in which call-out culture, reality TV melodrama and tribal grandstanding have overshadowed policymaking and the challenges of actually governing. The Buttigieg surge suggests that there are a lot of Democrats who want to say goodbye to all that. They don’t want to fight fire and divisiveness with more fire and divisiveness. They don’t want to fight white identity politics with another kind of identity politics. They are sick of the moral melodrama alt...
Tags: Translation, David Brooks, Law, Trump, South Bend, Pete, Pete He, Buttigieg, Ann Althouse, Pete Buttigieg, Democratic Party in Trumpland, 2020 Campaign, Brad Malkovsky, South Bend He


"This affectionate and sometimes intimate physical style is one of the former vice president’s trademarks, a defining feature of the warm and upbeat persona he has built..."

"... during more than four decades in the national spotlight. But the appropriateness of Biden’s physical behavior toward women is now being questioned, after a female Democratic politician penned a viral Internet piece describing an alleged 2014 encounter that left her offended and uncomfortable. As Biden prepares to announce whether he will run for president in 2020, the episode has raised questions about whether the older, self-described 'fingertip politician' is well-suited for the White Hou...
Tags: Law, White House, Joe Biden, Nevada, Biden, Gestures, Joe, Flores, Sanders, Democratic, Jake Tapper, Rourke, WaPo, Tapper, Buttigieg, Ann Althouse


"Iowa 2020: Biden and Sanders neck and neck in Democratic Field, Mayor Pete jumps to double digits."

It's Emerson’s second poll of the Iowa caucus.... former Vice President Joe Biden narrowly leads the Democratic field with 25%, followed by Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders at 24%. Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Indiana has surged to 11%. Senator Kamala Harris of California follows with 10% - the only other candidate to clear double digits in Iowa....Buttigieg was at 0% in the previous Emerson poll, in January.Sanders maintains a lead among 18-29 year olds with 44%, followed by Buttigieg with...
Tags: Law, California, Pete Seeger, Joe Biden, Gop, Hillary Clinton, Iowa, Biden, Names, Vermont, Delaware, Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders, Trump, Sanders, Pete Townshend


"Pete Buttigieg is the antidote to the Endless Summer of Scam. He’s full of the elite qualifications that you might rightly suspect..."

"... but provides depth in real time before you. He went to Afghanistan, but hasn’t made himself out to be a war hero. He fluently draws parallels between Ulysses and American politics. He learned Norwegian to read a book. He learned Norwegian to read a book. He has a lot of sober, curveball theories about millennials and generational change.... This is a 37-year-old mayor. In any normal situation, we probably would not be talking about him in context of being president of the United States. But...
Tags: 2020 Campaign, Elizabeth Holmes, Fake, Pete Buttigieg


"Beto O'Rourke raised massive $6.1 million his first day in the 2020 race..."

According to his campaign, CNN reports.That tops the $5.9 million one-day total Sen. Bernie Sanders announced after he launched his campaign. The closest other 2020 Democratic candidate to publicize their first-day fundraising total was California Sen. Kamala Harris at $1.5 million....[O'Rourke's] refusal to release first-day fundraising totals over the weekend had raised doubts that O'Rourke had met fundraising expectations around his campaign launch. He remained coy about his fundraising for d...
Tags: Law, Cnn, Biden, Campaign Finance, BETO, Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders, Bernie, Rourke, Washington Iowa, Joe Run, Ann Althouse, Beto O'Rourke, 2020 Campaign, Run Joe, California Sen Kamala Harris


Everybody beats Trump in Wisconsin, according to a new Emerson poll — everybody except Amy Klobuchar and — gasp! — Kamala Harris.

Here's how it looks at Real Clear Politics (click image to enlarge and clarify):Klobuchar only gets a tie. Okay. But Harris?! All those others best Trump but Kamala Harris — who I've been made to feel is the most likely candidate — only ties?!When the Democratic candidates are pitted against each other, Sanders and Biden are way out ahead, with 39% and 24%, respectively. Harris lags miserably at 5%. [Author: [email protected] (Ann Althouse)]
Tags: Law, Wisconsin, Amy Klobuchar, Biden, Kamala Harris, Polls, Trump, Sanders, HARRIS, Emerson, Klobuchar, Ann Althouse, 2020 Campaign


"There’s still a big part of the party that wants to fall in love, and there’s another part of the party that will settle for anything that will beat Trump."

"I think that’s a real, daily tension in the party that’s going to play out in real time.... It just happened that in 2008 and 2012 we fell in love with the most electable candidate.... I would generally make the case that the Democratic Party should always be nominating the next-generation candidate... except I’m not sure any of the old rules apply."Said Democratic Senator Christopher S. Murphy, quoted in "Beto O’Rourke is 46. Bernie Sanders is 77. Does Age Matter Anymore for Democrats?" (NYT)....
Tags: Law, Love, Bernie Sanders, Trump, Democratic Party, Murphy, Chris Murphy, Ann Althouse, Election Emotion, Democratic Party in Trumpland, 2020 Campaign, I'm for Boring, Beto O'Rourke, Said Democratic, Christopher S Murphy


Beto's in.

"Beto O’Rourke, the 46-year-old former Texas congressman whose near-miss Senate run last year propelled him to Democratic stardom, announced on Thursday that he was running for president, betting that voters will prize his message of national unity and generational change in a 2020 primary teeming with committed progressives. His decision jolts an early election season already stuffed with contenders, adding to the mix a relentless campaigner with a small-dollar fund-raising army, the performati...
Tags: Texas, Law, Senate, Nyt, Biden, Vermont, Booker, BETO, Bernie Sanders, Trump, Sanders, Bernie, BBB, Ann Althouse, Joseph R Biden Jr, O'Rourke


Achievements in graphic depiction.

I'm not even sure I understand this meme but I'm retweeting it anyway. https://t.co/PTeGfTbpei— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 12, 2019 [Author: [email protected] (Ann Althouse)]
Tags: Law, Metaphor, Fast Food, Mcdonald's, Nate Silver, Ann Althouse, 2020 Campaign


Send in the cats!

"Milwaukee lands 2020 Democratic National Convention" (Wisconsin State Journal).Milwaukee Bucks vice president Alex Lasry — who along with Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett and U.S. Rep. Gwen Moore, D-Milwaukee, helped oversee the city's bid for the convention — hailed the news...."For the next year and a half, everyone will be talking about the ‘Road to Milwaukee,' putting an emphasis on the importance of Wisconsin and the Midwest for winning the presidency," Lasry said....Hail the news... and Hail, ...
Tags: Cats, Law, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Midwest, Democratic Party, Don, Steve Cohen, Lasry, Wisconsin Wisconsin, Tom Barrett, Alex Lasry, Ann Althouse, Ilhan Omar, 2020 Campaign, Democrat cats in Wisconsin


"If even a successful businessman and entrepreneur like Governor Hickenlooper can't openly support capitalism in the Democratic primary, it's clear this is Senator Sanders' party now."

Said Howard Schultz (the Starbucks founder who may run for President as an independent), which was quoted on "Face the Nation" this morning, in a question to John Hickenlooper, whose answer was so dispiriting that I turned off the TV in the middle. Transcript:GOV. HICKENLOOPER: I've been-- the point I was making is that we defined people by these labels that- that often have all kinds of associations and baggage with them in that sense. Do I believe in small business? Of course I believe in smal...
Tags: Law, Elizabeth Warren, Capitalism, Howard Schultz, Starbucks, Donald Trump, Sanders, Nafta, Democratic Party, John Hickenlooper, Hickenlooper, Margaret Brennan, Face the Nation, Ann Althouse, 2020 Campaign


"With progressives pushing Democrats to embrace the Green New Deal — and Republicans ridiculing the idea as socialism — Mr. Schumer is effectively trying to turn a weakness into a strength."

"He is planning daily floor speeches attacking Republicans for inaction and a proposal for a special Senate committee focused on the issue, which he intends to announce this week. And while there is virtually no chance of passing climate change legislation in a Republican-controlled Senate with President Trump in office, Mr. Schumer said he wanted legislation to run on next year — and bring to a vote in early 2021, should his party win the White House and the Senate. 'This is the first time Demo...
Tags: Minnesota, Law, California, Senate, White House, Green, Democrats, Mitch McConnell, Amy Klobuchar, Scary, Times, Kirsten Gillibrand, Vermont, Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders, Trump


"I think I'm going to switch over to Hickenlooper."

I say out loud, as I'm reading "John Hickenlooper, Former Colorado Governor, Declares Candidacy for President" (NYT). Last December, as you may know, I suddenly said — also out loud — "Why aren't the Democratic candidates better? I'm just going to be for Amy Klobuchar."But I've been worried about Amy. There was that comb-as-a-fork business, and just yesterday I was thinking there are too many Senators in the race, and I think we need a governor. There's Jay Inslee, but I'm thinking he's all abou...
Tags: Law, Colorado, Amy Klobuchar, Nerds, Denver, Medicaid, Coke, Democratic Party, Hart, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, Hickenlooper, Gary Hart, Ann Althouse, Eyeglasses, 2020 Campaign


"Low-level employees were asked to perform duties they described as demeaning, like washing her dishes or other cleaning — a possible violation of Senate ethics rules, according to veterans of the chamber."

I'm afraid I must do a third post on the NYT article "How Amy Klobuchar Treats Her Staff." I just want to focus on the subject of a U.S. Senator asking low-level staff to do cleaning and the journalism of calling it "a possible violation of Senate ethics rules, according to veterans of the chamber."Why can't we have better reporting? Who are these unnamed people who make vague statements about ethics rules? Is this good journalistic ethics? What makes someone a "veteran of the chamber"? Could yo...
Tags: Cleaning, Law, Navy, Senate, Journalism, Brooklyn, Queens, Amy Klobuchar, Anthony Weiner, Kamala Harris, Amy, Normal, Don, Weiner, Kamala, NICOLAI


Bernie's running!

I'm running for president. I am asking you to join me today as part of an unprecedented and historic grassroots campaign that will begin with at least 1 million people from across the country. Say you're in: https://t.co/KOTx0WZqRf pic.twitter.com/T1TLH0rm26— Bernie Sanders (@BernieSanders) February 19, 2019 ADDED: So I guess the white men are not going to stand down. [Author: [email protected] (Ann Althouse)]
Tags: Law, Bernie Sanders, Bernie, Ann Althouse, 2020 Campaign


"U.S. Sen. Edward Markey is opposing a quick Senate vote on his own 'Green New Deal' resolution... but political observers say he’s been played by the GOP, stumbling into a trap...."

"Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell announced Tuesday night that he wants to 'give everybody an opportunity to go on record' — including the various 2020 presidential hopefuls among Senate Democrats — about the hard-left climate proposals outlined in the non-binding resolution. Markey tweeted, 'By rushing a vote on the #GreenNewDeal resolution, Republicans want to avoid a true national debate & kill our efforts to organize. We’re having the first national conversation on climate change in a ...
Tags: Law, Senate, Elizabeth Warren, Gop, Mitch McConnell, Environmentalism, Kamala Harris, The Boston Herald, McConnell, Markey, Sen Edward Markey, Matt Bennett, Ann Althouse, 2020 Campaign, Green New Deal, Edward J. Markey


On the Monday after the weekend when Elizabeth Warren and Amy Klobuchar announced their candidacy for President, is there any new evidence that the NYT has already picked a winner?

Look how the NYT home page structures the coverage this morning (click to enlarge and clarify):I've had the tag "NYT pushes Kamala" since December 29th, when I wrote "The NYT makes its 2020 presidential choice obvious."There are 5 women running in the race for the Democratic Party nomination — so many that I have to stop and try to remember them all. I count on my fingers and I google to check my work. And I feel that the NYT is always there to say, Don't worry, don't be confused, there's Kamala...
Tags: Law, California, Stanford, Elizabeth Warren, Los Angeles, Warren, Amy Klobuchar, Orange County, Donald Trump, Justice Department, Kamala Harris, Democratic Party, Don, HARRIS, Cory Booker, Loyola Law School


The Green New Deal — don't ask if it's practical, it's "aspirational," and people are looking for "dreamers."

That's the message Markos Moulitsas (founder of The Daily Kos) delievered — with an assist from WBUR news correspondent Kimberly Atkins — on “Meet the Press" today (transcript).The moderator Chuck Todd got the conversation going by reading Trump's tweet:"I think it is very important for the Democrats to press forward with their Green New Deal. It would be great for the so-called carbon footprint to permanently eliminate all planes, cars, cows, oil, gas, and the military even if no other country ...
Tags: Law, Elizabeth Warren, Sarcasm, Atkins, Environmentalism, Amy Klobuchar, Kos, Trump, Democratic Party, Chuck Todd, Klobuchar, Sherrod Brown, WBUR, Ann Althouse, Trump rhetoric, Markos Moulitsas


"If ever wearing blackface, even in the 1980s as both Northam and Herring did, is a career-ender, and if we are supposed to 'believe all women,' then all three of these Democrats have to go."

"Only Northam has been thrown overboard by the party, with Fairfax and Herring getting passes so far because Democrats don’t want to nuke the entirety of a state executive branch they control. Regardless, Virginia is an indication of an inflamed and unforgiving Democratic mood that will define the party’s battle for the 2020 presidential nomination. Democrats are about to embark on the first woke primary, a gantlet of political correctness that will routinely wring abject apologies out of candid...
Tags: Law, Virginia, Michael Jackson, The Washington Post, Kamala Harris, Lowry, Blackface, National Review, Rich Lowry, Fairfax, WaPo, Oberlin College, Kavanaugh, Ralph Northam, Northam, Ann Althouse


"The more you learn about Kamala Harris, the more formidable she appears."

David Brooks is in love again.*She is an amazing amalgam of different elements...As opposed to amalgams of the same element. Why mess up your alliteration with a redundancy? And why not an amazing amalgam of elegant elements? Keep the alliteration at least.... highly educated elite meritocrat, Oakland street fighter, crusading, rough-elbow prosecutor, canny machine pol and telegenic rhetorical brawler. She is also probably the toughest and most hard-nosed progressive on the scene right now....Sh...
Tags: David Brooks, Law, Obama, California, Barack Obama, Chicago, George Bush, Kenya, Lawyers, Oakland, Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders, Prose, Trump, Democratic, Brown


"With everything looking so 1970s, I want to offer 'Malaise!' as an idea for a political slogan. Any candidate is free to use that idea. No need to give me credit."

That's something I just wrote on Facebook, at a post by my son John about the Fast Company article, "The women running for president are breaking the rules of branding/The most diverse field of presidential candidates ever is also pushing the color of campaign branding like never before."From the article:Elizabeth Warren sets off the fairly traditional dark blue and red in her palette with an unexpected mint green to freshen things up. The overall impression gives off a fitting academic activist...
Tags: Facebook, Law, Elizabeth Warren, Color, America, John, Kamala Harris, Yellow, 1970s, HARRIS, Ann Althouse, Shirley Chisholm, Greenness, 2020 Campaign



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